Projection and evaluation of the physical results resulting from the rise in sea level in the year 2100 in the urban area of Grossos

Projection and evaluation of the physical results resulting from the rise in sea level in the year 2100 in the urban area of Grossos

Authors

  • Jucielho Pedro da Silva Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte
  • Paulo Victor do Nascimento Araújo Instituto Federal de Edecação, Ciência e Tecnologia do Rio Grande do Norte
  • Marco Túlio Mendonça Diniz Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte
  • José Yure Gomes dos Santos Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21680/2447-3359.2024v10n2ID37699

Abstract

The present study aimed to carry out a situational analysis of the city of Grossos in relation to sea level projections for 2100 based on the IPCC AR6. To this end, sea level modeling was carried out in a static hydraulic bathtub-type model, with an altimetric reference standardized at normal altitude and adjusted to the local level (zero on the Areia Branca tide ruler). To represent the terrain, it was made in MDT, using digital stereoscopic UAV images and adjusted to the Brazilian Geodetic System. The results demonstrate that the urban area is predominantly between 2.44 and 12.92 m in altitude, beyond the reach of current maximum tides and will have between 3.18 and 8.10% of its territory affected by 2100. Therefore, it can be concluded that the city is in a safe area with a relatively low risk of future flooding from rising sea levels.

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Published

19-09-2024

How to Cite

SILVA, Jucielho Pedro da; ARAÚJO, Paulo Victor do Nascimento; DINIZ, Marco Túlio Mendonça; SANTOS, José Yure Gomes dos. Projection and evaluation of the physical results resulting from the rise in sea level in the year 2100 in the urban area of Grossos : Projection and evaluation of the physical results resulting from the rise in sea level in the year 2100 in the urban area of Grossos . Notheast Geoscience Journal, [S. l.], v. 10, n. 2, p. 206–214, 2024. DOI: 10.21680/2447-3359.2024v10n2ID37699. Disponível em: https://www.periodicos.ufrn.br/revistadoregne/article/view/37699. Acesso em: 12 sep. 2026.

Issue

Vol. 10 No. 2 (2024):

Section

Artigos

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Copyright (c) 2024 Notheast Geoscience Journal

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